When do you think humanoids will largely replace manual labor?
Last week I saw the Neo Gama model on Product Hunt β humanoid for house chores.
Today, it is Protoclone and there are even more.
One model is pricy now, but a one-time investment may be cheaper long-term than ongoing salaries from the point of view of a company.
When do you think they will replace physical labour in most cases? (i.e. over 50%)
Which positions will be threatened by these humanoids first?
Which companies are investing in them first and the most?
Curious to see what you think about that. π
Replies
minimalist phone: creating folders
Although not a topic about humanoids, but about AI and its impact on work, I will discuss it in the newsletter, which will be released in 3 hours (2 PM CET).
I will also write about newly created job positions that are about to come into the game:
https://businessandmarketing.substack.com/
https://www.unitree.com/g1 say no more. π«³π€ (these bots will end up racing to the bottom on price, at some point they will be $999 on aliexpress) At first batteries will burn up, privacy will be questioned, injuries will happen. And then EU will slide in and make lots of regulations of course. But people won't care. It's free labour Β―\_(γ)_/Β―
minimalist phone: creating folders
@sentry_co In China their bots can actually dance and cook, so we are not so far.
70 years from now, especially if it's bargain price made in China. or quality ones from Japan.
minimalist phone: creating folders
@kilopolki I think it can be sooner 40 year :)
App Finder
@kilopolki @busmark_w_nika no more than ~20
Triforce Todos
Humanoids will likely first replace repetitive tasks like warehouse work and cleaning. Companies like Tesla, Figure AI, and Agility Robotics are leading the way, but cost and acceptance remain hurdles.
Do you think cost savings or labor shortages will drive adoption faster?
minimalist phone: creating folders
Definitely, companies (especially those huge ones) want to have higher profits so it means they need to have something cheaper. If humanoids will be cheaper than human force, they will opt for it.
Recap
People always overestimate what will change in the next two years but underestimate what will change in the next ten. Yes, I believe massive changes will happen in ten years-or even sooner.
minimalist phone: creating folders
If we focus on technology improvements, it can happen anything but we are also overwhelmed by other events in life so it means we can lose the focus and track as well.